How is this calculated?

A team is counted as still in it when at least one set of results for the matches left would put it there, taking into account that its rivals also play each other. It is counted as sure only when no set of results can take it away. Teams level on points are treated cautiously while matches remain: level is enough to stay in, never enough to be sure, because goal difference and the other tie-breaks are only applied once the season is over. Points deductions are included as published in the league table.

Liverpool led the Premier League after matchday 38 of 2024-25.

With 84 points, they were 10 ahead of Arsenal. Sure of a top-four finish: Manchester City, Chelsea. Out of the race for the top four: Newcastle, Aston Villa, Nottingham Forest.

Results

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 May	Bournemouth	2–0	Leicester City
25 May	Fulham	0–2	Manchester City
25 May	Ipswich Town	1–3	West Ham
25 May	Liverpool	1–1	Crystal Palace
25 May	Manchester United	2–0	Aston Villa
25 May	Newcastle	0–1	Everton
25 May	Nottingham Forest	0–1	Chelsea
25 May	Southampton	1–2	Arsenal
25 May	Tottenham	1–4	Brighton
25 May	Wolverhampton	1–1	Brentford

Table after matchday 38

Pos.	Team	Played	Goal diff.	Points	Max.	Title
1	Liverpool	38	+45	84	84	Champions
2	Arsenal	38	+35	74	74	Out
3	Manchester City	38	+28	71	71	Out
4	Chelsea	38	+21	69	69	Out
5	Newcastle	38	+21	66	66	Out
6	Aston Villa	38	+7	66	66	Out
7	Nottingham Forest	38	+12	65	65	Out
8	Brighton	38	+7	61	61	Out
9	Bournemouth	38	+12	56	56	Out
10	Brentford	38	+9	56	56	Out
11	Fulham	38	+0	54	54	Out
12	Crystal Palace	38	+0	53	53	Out
13	Everton	38	-2	48	48	Out
14	West Ham	38	-16	43	43	Out
15	Manchester United	38	-10	42	42	Out
16	Wolverhampton	38	-15	42	42	Out
17	Tottenham	38	-1	38	38	Out
18	Leicester City	38	-47	25	25	Out
19	Ipswich Town	38	-46	22	22	Out
20	Southampton	38	-60	12	12	Out

Max.: the most points the team can still finish on.

Matchdays

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Quick answers

Who was top of the Premier League after matchday 38 of 2024-25?: Liverpool led the Premier League after matchday 38 of 2024-25. With 84 points, they were 10 ahead of Arsenal.
What was decided on matchday 38 of the 2024-25 Premier League?: Sure of a top-four finish: Manchester City, Chelsea. Out of the race for the top four: Newcastle, Aston Villa, Nottingham Forest.
How is this calculated?: A team is counted as still in it when at least one set of results for the matches left would put it there, taking into account that its rivals also play each other. It is counted as sure only when no set of results can take it away. Teams level on points are treated cautiously while matches remain: level is enough to stay in, never enough to be sure, because goal difference and the other tie-breaks are only applied once the season is over. Points deductions are included as published in the league table.